Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 395.820359 449.157985 508.242113 578.755756 660.891164 753.866569 867.535813
2025-12-21 303.084896 369.626366 449.803487 554.321189 688.130387 855.257449 1082.251594
2025-12-28 267.802900 343.016044 439.037129 572.217313 754.687745 999.664504 1359.853759
2026-01-04 245.075545 326.659786 435.862920 595.344020 826.746440 1157.345162 1678.506229
2026-01-11 221.153438 304.517317 420.529165 597.391304 866.747641 1272.641941 1952.645081
2026-01-18 197.465461 279.371205 397.132208 583.319090 878.902592 1345.436351 2170.164733
2026-01-25 178.437801 258.603637 377.267639 571.142305 890.796016 1417.319044 2396.021187
2026-02-01 168.979690 250.899406 375.779492 586.755285 948.425544 1571.242755 2792.019622
2026-02-08 157.215642 238.356818 365.241239 585.963419 977.568297 1679.204002 3122.040929
2026-02-15 145.861184 225.331456 352.492895 579.658328 995.599816 1768.716844 3431.728885
2026-02-22 137.867545 216.959463 346.427358 583.926093 1032.782679 1898.755462 3849.652788
2026-03-01 128.262944 205.079519 333.314014 574.027564 1041.745190 1974.291604 4163.785849
2026-03-08 120.251926 195.400065 323.382122 569.359796 1061.186714 2076.005770 4564.718311
2026-03-15 110.039404 181.173853 304.316321 545.631548 1039.709776 2088.770510 4757.757498
2026-03-22 106.917627 179.073002 306.675158 563.185100 1105.096634 2300.490419 5496.401218
2026-03-29 104.698706 178.364965 311.439733 585.888049 1184.396386 2557.199151 6421.074156
2026-04-05 99.940158 172.650520 306.318161 587.897531 1218.440971 2713.074093 7108.518445
2026-04-12 93.654749 163.654513 294.205467 574.084265 1214.787240 2775.965363 7541.081900
2026-04-19 88.114709 155.683915 283.469807 562.130742 1213.940702 2845.892366 8014.701133
2026-04-26 86.031434 154.143725 285.255353 577.457321 1280.121273 3102.335900 9160.187660
2026-05-03 82.377237 149.304882 280.030587 576.680010 1306.721044 3256.816961 10013.077500
2026-05-10 78.445788 143.662791 272.739642 570.490702 1318.881998 3373.207461 10769.234618
2026-05-17 75.789362 140.378330 270.070513 574.680119 1358.385479 3575.883914 11911.958199